Category Archives: Publications

Book review published

The review of Daniel Courgeau’s 2012 volume Probability and Social Science my colleague Jakub Bijak and I put together has now been published!

You can find it here.  Sadly the article is behind a paywall, at least for the moment, but if you require a pre-print version please get in touch.

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Journal paper accepted!

I’m pleased to say that I’ve had a paper accepted to a journal this week: an article written by myself and my colleagues Jakub Bijak, Jason Hilton, Jason Noble and Viet Cao.  The paper is called “When Demography Met Social Simulation: A Tale of Two Modelling Approaches” and will appear in the Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation (JASSS) as soon as we submit the final version with a few small changes.

JASSS is an open-access journal, so once the article is available I’ll post a link here.  Hopefully this run of good fortune will continue as I submit my paper to ECMS 2013 in Norway on 15 February!

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Book review in press

My colleague Jakub Bijak and I recently put together a book review on Daniel Courgeau’s 2012 book for Springer ‘Probability and Social Science‘.  Jakub is a demographer and I’m an agent-based modeller with interests in social systems, so we decided to put our heads together and do an interdisciplinary book review for Daniel’s volume.  Spoiler alert: it’s a very good book.

Our review is in the journal Population Studies and will be available online soon — we just received information on how to make it open-access today 🙂

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4th World Congress on Social Simulation

I’m currently attending the 4th World Congress on Social Simulation, which is being held in Taipei, Taiwan at National Chengchi University.  I gave a presentation today entitled ‘Semi-Artificial Models of Populations: Connecting Demography with Agent-Based Modelling’.  I enjoyed giving the talk, particularly the encouraging and valuable feedback I received from colleagues from Russia, Japan and America.

I’ve uploaded my slides — bear in mind they were written in somewhat of a rush!

As for Taiwan, so far it’s been fantastic.  The streets are lively and clean, public transport is fast, cheap and reliable, the food is great, and people have been very polite and helpful.  Taipei 101 was particularly impressive; the building design is striking and the views are spectacular.  I’m looking forward to seeing more sights during the rest of my week here in Taiwan!

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Submitted a paper to Demographic Research

Yesterday my colleagues Jakub Bijak, Jason Hilton, Viet Cao and I submitted another paper, this one to the journal Demographic Research.  This one is also related to Francesco Billari’s model of partnership formation, but in this case we performed a replication and extension of the original model with a substantial focus on in-depth investigation of the mechanisms underlying the resulting population dynamics.

This kind of paper is fairly unusual in a demography journal, in that agent-based modelling techniques remain largely outside of standard methodology in that field.  Our hope is that we can build on Billari’s attempts to bring new methodologies into demography, and perhaps encourage some enthusiasm for the approach.

Demographic Research is free and open access, just like JASSS, so if our paper gets accepted you’ll soon see the link on this very page.

 

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Submitted a paper to JASSS

On Friday, I submitted a paper as first author to the Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation, together with my colleagues Jakub Bijak, Viet Cao, Jason Hilton and Jason Noble.

The paper describes an agent-based model applied to the study of partnership formation.  We base the model on a previous one by Francesco Billari called ‘The Wedding Ring’, and extend the model into two spatial dimensions while including substantive empirical data to drive mortality and fertility rates for agents in the model.  We conclude by utilising novel methods of uncertainty quantification (Gaussian emulators) to investigate the impact of some of the key parameters on model output.

We’re excited about this one!  A related paper is headed to Demographic Research within the next few days, so it’s been a productive summer.  Both journals are fully open-access, so if we’re fortunate enough to get both of them accepted links will be posted here on the Publications page.

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